Canadian dollar pulls back from one-month high as inflation cools

Monday, 20 July 2026 - 22:08

Canadian+dollar+pulls+back+from+one-month+high+as+inflation+cools
The Canadian dollar weakened against its US counterpart on Monday as domestic data showed inflation easing, reducing expectations for ​Bank of Canada interest rate hikes this year.

The loonie was trading ​0.3% lower at 1.4060 per U.S. dollar, or 71.12 U.S. cents, ⁠pulling back from its strongest intraday level since June 17 at 1.4001.

Canada's ​annual inflation rate cooled to 2.8% in June from a 29-month high of ​3.2% in May, as gasoline costs fell sharply. Measures of underlying inflation closely watched by the BoC also eased.

"The inflation came in softer data than expected, and it's not just ​the headline," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex ​LLC. "The market feels confident of no rate hike until maybe the end of the year."

Chances ‌that ⁠the BoC would hike by December eased to 66% from 72% before the inflation report, swap market data showed.

The price of oil , one of Canada's major exports, edged 0.4% lower to $82.16 a barrel. Hopes of renewed U.S.-Iran negotiations were countered ​by Yemen's Houthis declaring ​a naval blockade ⁠against Saudi Arabia.

Speculators have raised bearish bets on the Canadian dollar to the highest level since January 2025, data from ​the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday.

Non-commercial ​net ⁠short positions rose to 176,279 contracts as of July 14, up from 173,126 in the prior week.

Canadian government bond yields were mixed across a steeper curve. The ⁠2-year eased ​1.9 basis points to 2.850%, while it ​fell 7 basis points further below the U.S. equivalent to a gap of about 137 basis points ​in favor of the U.S. note.


-Reuters


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